Miami Marlins Vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Picks
Current Betting Odds
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Game Information
As the Arizona Diamondbacks head to loanDepot Park to take on the Miami Marlins, fans can expect a clash of contrasting styles. Arizona brings in a potent offense, while Miami aims to leverage their steadier pitching. This game, scheduled for August 21, 2024, promises excitement and strategic depth, keeping bettors on their toes.
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Win Probabilities
Arizona Diamondbacks: 57%, Miami Marlins: 43%. The Diamondbacks’ higher win probability stems from their superior hitting stats and recent form, demonstrating an ability to score runs consistently. Miami’s probability reflects their pitching strength and home-field advantage, but their inconsistent offensive output hinders their chances.
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Picks: Full Analysis
Both teams come into this game with distinct strengths and evident weaknesses. These factors will play pivotal roles in determining the outcome. Below is a detailed analysis of their seasonal performance and recent betting trends.
Arizona’s hitting prowess is evident with 656 runs and a .26 batting average across 125 games. They also display a solid dynamic in extra-base hits and run production with 150 home runs. Despite a slightly above-average Earned Run Average (ERA) of 4.464, their pitching holds up adequately, complemented by 69 wins. On the other hand, Miami’s offense has struggled, registering only 456 runs and a .237 batting average. Their pitching staff has a slightly lower ERA at 4.613, but more frequent field errors (82 compared to Arizona’s 48) could be costly. Arizona looks stronger on paper, primarily due to their consistent run-scoring.
| Teams | Games | Runs | Hits | Homeruns | Walks | Strikeouts | Wins | Losses | Saves |
| Marlins | 124 | 456 | 994 | 113 | 296 | 1065 | 46 | 78 | 24 |
| Diamondbacks | 125 | 656 | 1108 | 150 | 422 | 971 | 69 | 56 | 30 |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction: Betting Trends
The Marlins have been strong at home, covering the spread in 60% of their games at LoanDepot Park this season. They’ve also been a solid pick on the moneyline when favored at home, winning 58% of those matchups. In terms of the over/under, Miami has leaned slightly towards the under, with 54% of their home games finishing below the total points line. This trend suggests that when the Marlins win, it’s often through their pitching rather than high-scoring affairs.
The Diamondbacks, meanwhile, have been somewhat of a wildcard on the road. They’ve covered the spread in 55% of their road games, often surprising stronger teams with their scrappy play. On the moneyline, Arizona has been profitable in games where they are slight underdogs, reflecting their ability to punch above their weight. In terms of the over/under, the Diamondbacks have trended towards the over, especially when their bullpen is involved, with 57% of their road games surpassing the projected total points.
Injuries and Suspensions
| Miami Marlins | |||
| Name | Status | Position | |
| Sandy Alcantara | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Braxton Garrett | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Sixto Sánchez | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Ryan Weathers | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Dane Myers | Out (10-Day Injured List) | RF | |
| Anthony Bender | Out (15-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Eury Pérez | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Josh Simpson | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Arizona Diamondbacks | |||
| Name | Status | Position | |
| Ketel Marte | Questionable (Active) | 2B | |
| Christian Walker | Out (10-Day Injured List) | 1B | |
| Gabriel Moreno | Out (10-Day Injured List) | C | |
| Kyle Nelson | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Drey Jameson | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Bryce Jarvis | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Andrew Saalfrank | Out (Suspended List) | RP | |
Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction
This game is shaping up to be a closely contested battle, with both teams bringing strengths that can counter the other’s weaknesses. The Marlins’ pitching staff gives them a slight edge, especially at home, but the Diamondbacks’ ability to manufacture runs and their knack for covering spreads on the road makes them a dangerous opponent. Expect a low-scoring game with Miami’s pitching holding up just enough to secure a narrow victory.
