New York Mets Vs Miami Marlins Betting Picks
Current Betting Odds
Mets vs Marlins Game Information
Baseball fans are eagerly awaiting the upcoming clash between the New York Mets and the Miami Marlins at Citi Field. Scheduled for August 17, 2024, this game is set to be a thrilling display of Eastern Division rivalry as both teams look to solidify their standings. The Mets, boasting a better record this season, will try to take advantage of their home-field edge, while the Marlins aim to disrupt their plans with their dynamic, if inconsistent, performance.
Mets vs Marlins Win Probabilities
The New York Mets are given a slight edge with a 58% win probability due to their stronger overall record and superior performance metrics. Their batting average of .249 compared to the Marlins’ .237, along with a slugging percentage of .416 versus .366, demonstrates a more potent offense. Despite recent struggles, the Mets’ home advantage further tips the scales in their favor. The Miami Marlins hold a 42% win probability, relying on their ability to capitalize on the Mets’ defensive lapses and their own sporadic bursts of exceptional play.
Mets vs Marlins Picks: Full Analysis
Both teams have displayed a mix of consistency and volatility this season. The Mets have shown resilience, especially in their ability to score runs and maintain a decent defensive stance. However, they have faltered in maintaining leads and have suffered from occasional batting slumps. Conversely, the Marlins, while less consistent, have had moments of brilliance that could influence this game…
Throughout the 2024 season, the New York Mets have played 119 games, registering a batting average of .249 with 147 home runs and an on-base percentage of .321. Their pitching staff has been robust, with an earned run average (ERA) of 4.202 and striking out 1070 batters. On the other hand, the Miami Marlins have played 120 games, with a batting average of .237, 111 home runs, and an on-base percentage of .293. Their pitching staff shows a higher ERA at 4.579 and slightly fewer strikeouts at 995. These stats highlight the Mets’ offensive and pitching advantages, which could be decisive factors in the upcoming game.
| Teams | Games | Runs | Hits | Homeruns | Walks | Strikeouts | Wins | Losses | Saves |
| Mets | 119 | 565 | 1018 | 147 | 384 | 998 | 61 | 58 | 31 |
| Marlins | 120 | 445 | 965 | 111 | 287 | 1033 | 45 | 75 | 23 |
Mets vs Marlins Prediction: Betting Trends
The New York Mets have covered the spread in only 20% of their last five games, with their most frequent outcome being ‘Under’. This indicates a tendency towards lower-scoring games, despite a few high-scoring outputs. Their troubles with maintaining leads can be a critical aspect for bettors to consider.
The Miami Marlins have covered the spread in 60% of their last five games, with ‘Over’ being the most frequent outcome. This suggests that while the Marlins often engage in high-scoring affairs, they manage to outperform expectations sporadically. Bettors should note their volatility and potential for upset victories.
Injuries and Suspensions
| New York Mets | |||
| Name | Status | Position | |
| Starling Marte | Out (10-Day Injured List) | RF | |
| Brooks Raley | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out (15-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Drew Smith | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Kodai Senga | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SS | |
| Dedniel Núñez | Out (15-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Christian Scott | Out (15-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Christopher Larez | Out (Restricted List) | SS | |
| Miami Marlins | |||
| Name | Status | Position | |
| Sandy Alcantara | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Braxton Garrett | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Sixto Sánchez | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Nick Fortes | Out (10-Day Injured List) | C | |
| Ryan Weathers | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Dane Myers | Out (10-Day Injured List) | RF | |
| Eury Pérez | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Josh Simpson | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
Mets vs Marlins Prediction
Given the detailed analysis and considering recent performance trends, the upcoming game between the Mets and the Marlins is projected to be tightly contested. The Mets’ offensive depth and home advantage potentially give them a slight upper hand. However, the Marlins’ ability to perform unexpectedly well suggests that they could exploit any lapses by the Mets. A close game is anticipated, possibly edging in favor of the Mets with a final score around 5-4, but bettors are advised to consider the Marlins’ knack for covering spreads and pushing games to ‘Over’.
