Philadelphia Phillies Vs Miami Marlins Betting Picks
Current Betting Odds
Phillies vs Marlins Game Information
As the Philadelphia Phillies gear up to host the Miami Marlins on August 14, 2024, at Citizens Bank Park, both teams are looking to capitalize on their recent performances. The Phillies have shown a strong offensive presence throughout the season, while the Marlins have displayed resilience despite their struggles. This matchup promises to be an intriguing contest, with both teams aiming to improve their standings in the NL East division.
Phillies vs Marlins Win Probabilities
The Philadelphia Phillies have a higher win probability at 62%, compared to the Miami Marlins at 38%. This assessment is based on the superior batting averages, slugging percentage, and overall record of the Phillies. Additionally, their home advantage at Citizens Bank Park plays a significant role in the higher win probability. On the other hand, the Marlins, despite their lower win probability, have showcased moments of brilliance, particularly in close games and could still pose a challenge.
Phillies vs Marlins Picks: Full Analysis
Analyzing both teams’ strengths and weaknesses offers insight into how the game might unfold. Below, we take a closer look at their seasonal stats, recent betting trends, and key elements that might dictate the game’s outcome.
The Phillies have played 118 games, achieving a solid batting average of .255 with 145 home runs. Their offensive stats, including a slugging percentage of .421, underline their formidable batting lineup. In contrast, the Marlins have struggled offensively with a batting average of .237 and only 109 home runs in 119 games. However, their defensive metrics reveal consistency in keeping games tight, evidenced by a lower walks-plus-hits-per-inning-pitched (WHIP) compared to the average team. The discrepancy in runs scored (567 for the Phillies versus 440 for the Marlins) highlights the potential for Philadelphia to dominate the scoreboard if Miami’s pitching falters.
| Teams | Games | Runs | Hits | Homeruns | Walks | Strikeouts | Wins | Losses | Saves |
| Phillies | 118 | 567 | 1025 | 145 | 394 | 986 | 69 | 49 | 28 |
| Marlins | 119 | 440 | 957 | 109 | 282 | 1021 | 44 | 75 | 23 |
Phillies vs Marlins Prediction: Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the spread in three of their last five games (60%), with the majority of these games hitting the over on total runs. Their recent loss against the Arizona Diamondbacks, marked by a high-scoring game (12-5), indicates a propensity for their games to exceed the over/under predictions. Philadelphia’s offense has been prolific but has also conceded runs, making them a team that regularly participates in high-scoring contests .
The Miami Marlins have also covered the spread in three of their last five games (60%), frequently hitting the over in these matches. Their 7-6 win against the San Diego Padres exemplifies their ability to engage in competitive, high-scoring games. Despite their overall weaker offensive stats, recent performances indicate they can exploit opportunities and keep games close, benefiting from an effective strategy in covering the spread .
Injuries and Suspensions
| Philadelphia Phillies | |||
| Name | Status | Position | |
| Taijuan Walker | Out (15-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Dylan Covey | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Luis F. Ortiz | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Spencer Turnbull | Out (15-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Austin Hays | Out (10-Day Injured List) | LF | |
| Ranger Suárez | Out (15-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| José Rodríguez | Out (Suspended List) | SS | |
| Miami Marlins | |||
| Name | Status | Position | |
| Sandy Alcantara | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Braxton Garrett | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Jesús Luzardo | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Sixto Sánchez | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Nick Fortes | Out (10-Day Injured List) | C | |
| Ryan Weathers | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Dane Myers | Out (10-Day Injured List) | RF | |
| Eury Pérez | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Josh Simpson | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
Phillies vs Marlins Prediction
This matchup is expected to be closely contested, with both teams capable of scoring runs in bunches. While the Phillies’ potent offense might give them the edge, the Marlins’ resilience and recent form suggest they won’t go down without a fight. Expect a game that not only covers the spread but also likely hits the over on total runs, making it an exciting prospect for bettors. The Phillies are predicted to win, but not without a challenge from the Marlins, who will look to capitalize on any defensive lapses.
