Pittsburgh Pirates Vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Picks
Current Betting Odds
Pirates vs Reds Game Information
Baseball fans are in for a treat as the Cincinnati Reds are set to face the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 23, 2024. The Reds, under the guidance of Head Coach David Bell, have shown a blend of offensive prowess and solid pitching this season, while Derek Shelton’s Pirates will look to leverage their home-field advantage and rectify recent form inconsistencies. Both teams are in the National League Central and are well-acquainted, promising an intense and captivating showdown that shouldn’t be missed.
Pirates vs Reds Win Probabilities
The Cincinnati Reds have a slightly higher probability of winning this encounter, estimated at 55%, while the Pittsburgh Pirates are projected at 45%. These probabilities are derived from the Reds’ stronger hitting stats and recent performances, notably their higher batting average and total bases. However, the Pirates’ home advantage and comparable pitching stats narrow the margin, making this a closely contested game.
Pirates vs Reds Picks: Full Analysis
Let’s delve into the strengths and weaknesses of both teams to better understand the possible outcomes of this game. The Reds have demonstrated a potent offense throughout the season, while the Pirates possess solid pitching and the ability to convert critical game moments. This analysis will cover seasonal stats, recent betting trends, and culminate in a game prediction.
The Cincinnati Reds have been impressive offensively with 148 home runs and an OPS of 0.702. Their batting average stands at 0.23, which although modest, is complemented by their aggressive base running, evidenced by 168 stolen bases. On the pitching front, they maintain a decent ERA of 3.959 with 1067 strikeouts. In contrast, the Pittsburgh Pirates have a slightly higher batting average at 0.234 and have been effective in converting hits with 987 total hits this season. Their pitching stats reflect a similar ERA of 3.987 but with greater strikeouts at 1153. However, they have allowed more hits and runs compared to the Reds. These statistics suggest an edge for the Reds but underline possible vulnerabilities in both teams’ defensive strategies.
| Teams | Games | Runs | Hits | Homeruns | Walks | Strikeouts | Wins | Losses | Saves |
| Pirates | 124 | 514 | 987 | 124 | 374 | 1153 | 58 | 66 | 30 |
| Reds | 125 | 552 | 943 | 148 | 375 | 1132 | 61 | 64 | 26 |
Pirates vs Reds Prediction: Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the spread in 40% of their last five games, with an ‘Over’ outcome in four out of five games. This indicates that while they struggle to cover spreads consistently, their games tend to have higher total runs. Their recent 10-3 loss to the Mariners highlighted inconsistent pitching but also their potential for high-scoring games .
Similarly, the Cincinnati Reds’ recent betting trends show a 40% spread coverage in their last five games with three out of five games hitting the ‘Over’. The Reds’ performance in a 6-3 victory over the Blue Jays reinforces their ability to score efficiently and cover the spread when required. Their consistent run production is a key betting consideration for this matchup .
Injuries and Suspensions
| Pittsburgh Pirates | |||
| Name | Status | Position | |
| Andrew McCutchen | Out (10-Day Injured List) | DH | |
| Johan Oviedo | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Marco Gonzales | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Out (10-Day Injured List) | 3B | |
| Daulton Jefferies | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Ryan Borucki | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Dauri Moreta | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Nick Gonzales | Out (10-Day Injured List) | 2B | |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | Out (15-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Jared Jones | Out (15-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Colin Holderman | Out (15-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Endy RodrÃguez | Out (60-Day Injured List) | C | |
| Cincinnati Reds | |||
| Name | Status | Position | |
| Jeimer Candelario | Out (10-Day Injured List) | 3B | |
| Brent Suter | Out (15-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Austin Wynns | Out (10-Day Injured List) | C | |
| Nick Martini | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RF | |
| Hunter Greene | Out (15-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Ian Gibaut | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Matt McLain | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SS | |
| Graham Ashcraft | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Brandon Williamson | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Tejay Antone | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Christian Roa | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Out (60-Day Injured List) | 1B | |
Pirates vs Reds Prediction
Taking the statistics and recent performance trends into account, the Cincinnati Reds appear to have a slight advantage over the Pittsburgh Pirates, making a case for a Reds’ win. The Reds’ consistent scoring ability and aggressive base running, combined with the Pirates’ inconsistent pitching, suggest a potentially high-scoring game. However, the Pirates’ solid home performance cannot be overlooked, which might ensure the game remains tight. Expect a close contest with more than nine total runs scored, favoring the Reds with a final scoreline prediction of around 7-5 in their favor.
