Pittsburgh Pirates Vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Picks
Current Betting Odds
Pirates vs Reds Game Information
As the Cincinnati Reds travel to face the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park, this matchup promises to be a thrilling encounter. Both teams are looking to improve their records as the season heads into its critical stretch. The Reds are coming off recent games that highlight their offensive prowess, while the Pirates are looking to leverage their home-field advantage. This game could be crucial for both teams in the standings, making it a must-watch for baseball fans and bettors alike.
Pirates vs Reds Win Probabilities
The Cincinnati Reds have a 55% chance of winning this game, while the Pittsburgh Pirates have a 45% chance. This estimate is based on the Reds’ slightly better offensive numbers and recent performance trends. The Reds have scored 566 runs this season compared to the Pirates’ 518, showcasing a more potent lineup. However, Pittsburgh’s home-field advantage and slightly better defensive stats make this a close contest.
Pirates vs Reds Picks: Full Analysis
In this section, we’ll delve deeper into the strengths and weaknesses of both the Cincinnati Reds and the Pittsburgh Pirates. We’ll examine seasonal stats, recent betting trends, and ultimately provide a detailed prediction.
The Cincinnati Reds have a mixed season with a 62-66 win-loss record. Their batting average stands at .231 with 152 home runs, indicating a solid but inconsistent offensive output. Their pitchers have an ERA of 4.027, showing potential vulnerabilities on the mound. On the other hand, the Pittsburgh Pirates have a very similar record of 60-67. Their batting average is slightly better at .234, but they lag behind in home runs with 124. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has maintained a slightly better ERA of 3.933. Both teams are evenly matched, but the Reds’ offensive firepower might give them a slight edge in this encounter.
| Teams | Games | Runs | Hits | Homeruns | Walks | Strikeouts | Wins | Losses | Saves |
| Pirates | 127 | 518 | 1002 | 124 | 377 | 1179 | 60 | 67 | 30 |
| Reds | 128 | 566 | 963 | 152 | 382 | 1152 | 62 | 66 | 26 |
Pirates vs Reds Prediction: Betting Trends
The Pittsburgh Pirates have been a mixed bag against the spread this season, particularly at home. They have covered the spread in only about 45% of their games at PNC Park, showing a tendency to win close games without covering. Their games have trended towards the under, especially when their pitching staff performs well, with about 55% of their home games falling below the total points line.
The Cincinnati Reds have been slightly better against the spread, covering in approximately 50% of their road games. Their games have often gone over the total points line, especially when their offense catches fire. However, they’ve struggled against teams with strong pitching staffs, which has occasionally led to lower-scoring affairs.
Injuries and Suspensions
| Pittsburgh Pirates | |||
| Name | Status | Position | |
| Andrew McCutchen | Out (10-Day Injured List) | DH | |
| Johan Oviedo | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Marco Gonzales | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes | Out (10-Day Injured List) | 3B | |
| Daulton Jefferies | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Ryan Borucki | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Dauri Moreta | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Nick Gonzales | Out (10-Day Injured List) | 2B | |
| Carmen Mlodzinski | Out (15-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Jared Jones | Out (15-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Colin Holderman | Out (15-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Endy Rodríguez | Out (60-Day Injured List) | C | |
| Cincinnati Reds | |||
| Name | Status | Position | |
| Jeimer Candelario | Out (10-Day Injured List) | 3B | |
| Brent Suter | Out (15-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Jake Fraley | Out (10-Day Injured List) | RF | |
| Austin Wynns | Out (10-Day Injured List) | C | |
| Nick Martini | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RF | |
| Hunter Greene | Out (15-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Ian Gibaut | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Matt McLain | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SS | |
| Graham Ashcraft | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Brandon Williamson | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Tejay Antone | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Christian Roa | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Christian Encarnacion-Strand | Out (60-Day Injured List) | 1B | |
Pirates vs Reds Prediction
This matchup between the Pirates and Reds is poised to be a tightly contested affair, with both teams having clear strengths that could tilt the game in their favor. The Pirates’ edge in pitching might be enough to slow down Cincinnati’s potent offense, especially in the early innings. However, the Reds’ ability to score in bunches could make the difference as the game progresses.
Given the closeness of both teams in recent form, the safest play might be to back the Pirates on the moneyline, leveraging their slight home advantage. However, with the Reds’ offense, taking the over on total runs also seems like a strong option. Expect a final score around 5-4, with the Pirates narrowly edging out the Reds in a game that could go down to the wire.
