Pittsburgh Pirates Vs New York Mets Betting Picks

Sat, Jul 06 4:05 pm
Season Stats:
40 Wins44 Loses23 Saves
Last 5 Games:
New York
Season Stats:
42 Wins41 Loses20 Saves
Last 5 Games:

Current Betting Odds

PIT 1 -116
NYM -1 -110
Over 9.5 -115
Under 9.5 -111
PIT 110
NYM -139

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Pirates vs Mets Game Information

DateSat, Jul 6
Time4:05 pm
LocationPNC Park
TV Broadcast

As the New York Mets (NYM) travel to face the Pittsburgh Pirates (PIT) at PNC Park, both teams look to gain a crucial edge midway through the season. This matchup on July 6, 2024, promises to be an exciting confrontation between two National League contenders with playoff aspirations. Whether it’s the Mets’ power-packed lineup or the Pirates’ solid pitching, this game has plenty to offer for baseball enthusiasts and bettors alike.

Pirates vs Mets Win Probabilities

Based on current season performance metrics, the New York Mets have an estimated win probability of 52%, while the Pittsburgh Pirates are at 48%. The Mets hold a slight edge due to their superior batting average (.251 compared to the Pirates’ .227) and better recent form, winning 7 of their last 10 games. The Pirates, on the other hand, have been less consistent with just 4 wins in their last 10 games.

Pirates vs Mets Picks: Full Analysis

Examining both teams, we can see distinct strengths and weaknesses that will be critical in determining the game’s outcome. Here’s a detailed analysis of how these factors may play out during the match…
The New York Mets have played 83 games this season, securing 42 wins with notable batting stats – a .251 average, 106 home runs, and a .742 OPS. Their offense is slightly undermined by their pitching’s ERA of 4.132 and WHIP of 1.313. The Pirates, playing 84 games, have a less stellar record with a .227 batting average and a .655 OPS. Their pitchers have kept an ERA of 4.013, indicating a marginally stronger pitching defense. Both teams have comparable total strikeouts, but Mets edge out on overall efficiency.


Pirates vs Mets Prediction: Betting Trends

Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the spread in 40% of their last five games. Notably, their games have trended towards the ‘over’, hitting four times. This reflects a tendency for higher-scoring games, which aligns with their recent pitching struggles and lower scoring defense.
New York Mets have shown better consistency in their last five games, covering the spread in 60% of these matches. Their games have generally trended over, hitting four times, indicating a strong offensive output combined with some defensive lapses.

Injuries and Suspensions

Pittsburgh Pirates
Johan OviedoOut (60-Day Injured List)SP
Marco GonzalesOut (60-Day Injured List)SP
Ryan BoruckiOut (60-Day Injured List)RP
David BednarOut (15-Day Injured List)RP
Dauri MoretaOut (60-Day Injured List)RP
Quinn PriesterOut (15-Day Injured List)SP
Henry DavisOut (7-Day Injured List)C
Hunter StrattonOut (15-Day Injured List)RP
Endy RodríguezOut (60-Day Injured List)C
New York Mets
Starling MarteOut (10-Day Injured List)RF
Brooks RaleyOut (60-Day Injured List)RP
Harrison BaderQuestionable (Active)CF
Edwin DíazOut (Suspended List)RP
Sean Reid-FoleyOut (15-Day Injured List)SP
Drew SmithOut (15-Day Injured List)RP
Kodai SengaOut (60-Day Injured List)SP
Shintaro FujinamiOut (60-Day Injured List)RP
Ronny MauricioOut (60-Day Injured List)SS
Christopher LarezOut (Restricted List)SS

Pirates vs Mets Prediction

This matchup between the Mets and Pirates is set to be a closely fought battle. Given the Mets’ better recent form and slightly superior offensive and defensive metrics, they seem to hold the upper hand. However, playing away at PNC Park and going up against the Pirates’ resilient pitching could pose challenges. Expect a high-scoring affair potentially going over the set total, with the Mets nudging out the Pirates in a narrow victory.