New York Mets Vs Atlanta Braves Betting Picks
Current Betting Odds
Mets vs Braves Game Information
The upcoming clash between the New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves is set to take place at Citi Field. This match promises to be an engaging affair as both teams have been displaying some competitive baseball lately. Both sides are almost neck-and-neck in terms of recent form, making this one of the must-watch games of the season. With Atlanta Braves standing at a 54-45 record and the New York Mets at 51-48, every game counts as we move deeper into the season.
Mets vs Braves Win Probabilities
Based on the team’s seasonal performances, the win probability for the Atlanta Braves is estimated at 55%, while the New York Mets have a win probability of 45%. The Braves have a slightly better record and are stronger in pitching stats, even though the Mets lead slightly in batting metrics. However, the Mets’ recent games showing higher hitting and scoring might just balance the scales.
Mets vs Braves Picks: Full Analysis
Analyzing both teams’ strengths and weaknesses reveals a match-up where the Braves’ solid pitching meets the Mets’ strong batting. We’ll delve into each team’s seasonal stats, recent betting trends, and how they might influence the game’s outcome.
Over the season, the Braves have played 99 games with a 54-45 win-loss record, supported by an ERA of 3.461 and a WHIP of 1.195. Their pitching has consistently been formidable, making it difficult for opponents to score. On the batting side, with a batting average of .240, they have displayed enough competency to back up their pitchers. The Mets, slightly lagging behind in the win column with a 51-48 record, exhibit a higher batting average at .250 and have a more notable slugging percentage at .419 compared to the Braves’ .404. However, their pitching hasn’t been as sharp, reflected in a higher ERA of 4.209. This gives the Braves a slight edge in terms of defensive strength.
| Teams | Games | Runs | Hits | Homeruns | Walks | Strikeouts | Wins | Losses | Saves |
| Mets | 99 | 478 | 851 | 126 | 325 | 804 | 51 | 48 | 27 |
| Braves | 99 | 418 | 801 | 115 | 277 | 878 | 54 | 45 | 26 |
Mets vs Braves Prediction: Betting Trends
The New York Mets have had a mixed record over their last five games. They covered the spread in 40% of these games and the total went over in 3 out of 5 games. This trend highlights their games usually being high-scoring and competitive, covering spreads only half the time. Given their recent performance, expect the Mets to put up a strong resistance but have variability in whether they cover the spread.
The Braves have similarly seen a mixed run. They have covered the spread in only 20% of their last five games, and the total went under 3 times out of 5 games, indicating that their games have been lower scoring, relying on their strong pitching to grind out results. The Braves’ inability to regularly cover the spread might be a point of concern for bettors.
Injuries and Suspensions
| New York Mets | |||
| Name | Status | Position | |
| Starling Marte | Out (10-Day Injured List) | RF | |
| Brooks Raley | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Sean Reid-Foley | Out (15-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Drew Smith | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Kodai Senga | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Shintaro Fujinami | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Reed Garrett | Out (15-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Ronny Mauricio | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SS | |
| Christian Scott | Out (15-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Christopher Larez | Out (Restricted List) | SS | |
| Atlanta Braves | |||
| Name | Status | Position | |
| Tyler Matzek | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Whit Merrifield | Questionable (Active) | 2B | |
| Ozzie Albies | Out (10-Day Injured List) | 2B | |
| Max Fried | Out (15-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Austin Riley | Out (Paternity List) | 3B | |
| Huascar Ynoa | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Ronald Acuña Jr. | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RF | |
| Angel Perdomo | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Jimmy Herget | Out (15-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Ray Kerr | Out (60-Day Injured List) | RP | |
| Michael Harris II | Out (10-Day Injured List) | CF | |
| Spencer Strider | Out (60-Day Injured List) | SP | |
| Hurston Waldrep | Out (15-Day Injured List) | SP | |
Mets vs Braves Prediction
In a close contest, the Braves’ strong pitching might just edge out the Mets’ formidable hitting lineup, resulting in a low-scoring game. Given both teams’ performances and recent trends, it is expected to be a tight match with the final decision potentially coming down to the bullpens. A prediction would favor the Braves to win narrowly, possibly covering a small spread with a likelihood that the total score stays under.
